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New values of time and reliability in passenger transport in the Netherlands

机译:荷兰旅客运输中时间和可靠性的新价值

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摘要

We have established new values of time (VOTs) and values of travel time reliability (VORs) for use in cost-benefit analysis (CBA) of transport projects in The Netherlands. This was the first national study in The Netherlands (and one of the first world-wide) to investigate these topics empirically in a joint framework. Stated preference (SP) questionnaires were designed for interviewing travellers, where the hypothetical alternatives were described in terms of travel time, travel costs and travel time reliability, the latter being presented to the respondents in the form of five possible travel times having equal probability.For passenger transport, we first collected interviews using an existing internet panel. Additional data collection recruitment was done by asking travellers at petrol stations/service areas, parking garages, stations, bus stops, airports and ports to participate in the survey. One important conclusion is that the SP survey using members of this internet panel leads to substantially lower VOTs than the SP survey with en-route recruitment, probably because of self-selection bias in the internet panel.We estimated discrete choice models in which the values of time differ between trips with different time and costs levels, different time and costs changes offered in the SP, and different observed characteristics of the respondents (e.g. education, income, age, household composition). By using a panel latent class model, we also account for unobserved differences between respondents in the value of time and for repeated measurements/panel effects. The reference values of time and the reference reliability ratios were estimated on the 2011 sample only, but the effect of time and cost level, time and cost changes offered and socio-economic attributes was estimated on both the 2009 and 2011 samples.
机译:我们已经建立了新的时间(VOT)值和旅行时间可靠性(VOR)值,用于荷兰交通项目的成本效益分析(CBA)。这是荷兰(也是全球第一个)中的第一项国家研究,目的是在联合框架内对这些主题进行实证研究。陈述偏好(SP)问卷是专为采访旅行者而设计的,其中根据旅行时间,旅行成本和旅行时间可靠性描述了假设的替代方案,后者以五种具有相等概率的可能旅行时间的形式提供给受访者。对于客运,我们首先使用现有的互联网小组收集了采访。通过要求加油站/服务区,停车库,车站,公交车站,机场和港口的旅行者参加调查来补充数据收集。一个重要的结论是,使用该互联网专家组成员进行的SP调查比通过路途招募的SP调查导致的VOT明显更低,这可能是由于Internet专家组中的自我选择偏见所致。不同时间和费用水平,SP中提供的时间和费用变化不同以及受访者观察到的不同特征(例如教育程度,收入,年龄,家庭组成)之间的旅行时间差异也有所不同。通过使用面板潜在类模型,我们还考虑了时间值和重复测量/面板效应之间受访者之间未观察到的差异。时间参考值和参考可靠性比率仅在2011年样本中估算,而时间和成本水平,所提供的时间和成本变化以及社会经济属性的影响在2009年和2011年样本中均进行了估算。

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